Playbook · Creator Campaigns

How to Check an X Creator
Before You Pay for a Post

Follower count is the number on every rate card and the least useful number on the page. This is the checklist we use to judge an X creator's typical post, the signs that a creator's engagement isn't coming from buyers, and how to split a budget across a list without paying for the biggest names by default.

Reading time8 min
TagsCreator Marketing · Influencer Marketing · X / Twitter · Playbook

Most creator deals on X are priced off one number: followers. A creator with 200K followers quotes more than one with 20K, and the brand pays it, because it's the only number either side has looked at.

But followers are a measure of the past. They tell you how many people once decided to follow an account. They don't tell you how many of those people see its posts today, whether anyone reacts, or whether the reactions come from buyers or from other creators trading replies. You aren't buying the follower count. You're buying the next post.

So we built Creator Check: paste an X handle and it tells you what that creator's typical post actually does. Upload a list with prices and it ranks the list against itself and plans how to spend your budget across it. This post walks through what it measures and why, so you can apply the same checks with or without the tool.

The Typical Post

Judge the typical post, not the viral one

Every creator has a post that blew up. It's the one in the media kit. It's also the post you're least likely to get. Pay for a post and you get an ordinary one.

That's why every number in a check is a median, not an average. One post at 90K views can drag an average far above what the account does on a normal day; the median ignores it. Next to it we show the middle half of the range (25th to 75th percentile), so you can see how steady the account is.

Two more rules keep the numbers honest:

01
Original posts only

You're paying for a post, so replies and reposts are left out. Many accounts' timelines are mostly replies, and a reply's reach says nothing about what a paid post will get.

02
Posts at least 48 hours old

Views on X keep climbing for days. Measuring a post the day it goes up undercounts it, so only settled posts count.

Example Creator Check report for a made-up account, @lenabuilds: creator quality 71 of 100, 18K followers, a typical post gets 16K views and 11.1 engagements per 1,000 views, and at $450 a post that is $28.06 per 1,000 views. A bar chart shows 34 posts, with two outlier spikes marked in orange above a steady typical line.
Example report, made-up account. The two orange spikes are the posts a media kit would show. The line through the middle is what you'd actually be paying for.
The Checklist

Five numbers that matter more than followers

1
Typical views per post

The median views on settled original posts. This is your real reach estimate, and the number to hold a price against.

2
Views per follower

Typical views divided by followers. It shows how much of the audience is still paying attention. A large account whose posts reach a small fraction of it is selling an audience that has moved on.

3
Engagements per 1,000 views

How often people who see a post do something about it. This is the closest public signal to whether the audience cares. High views with almost no reaction usually means the views weren't from people who were listening.

4
Reply share and reposts

What kind of engagement it is. A healthy post gets a mix of replies, reposts and likes. Engagement that is nearly all replies, with no reposts, is a pattern worth a second look (more below).

5
Cost per 1,000 views and per engagement

Enter the price they quoted and turn it into a unit cost using the typical post. Two creators quoting the same price can be far apart on what each view actually costs you.

Ask for the follower count, then check it

Creators sometimes quote a follower number that is out of date, or rounded up. If you enter the number they told you, the check compares it with the live count. In the example list below, two creators claimed more than 15% more followers than they have.

Does It Add Up?

Engagement that isn't coming from buyers

The most expensive mistake isn't paying for a small audience. It's paying for engagement that looks real and isn't coming from people who might buy. These are the patterns the check looks for. Each one lowers the score and says why:

What we see
A shared replier group. Two creators on your list have many of the same people replying to them.
Why it matters
That engagement is largely other creators replying to each other, not buyers. Paying both is paying for the same audience twice.
What we see
Reply-heavy engagement. Nearly half or more of engagement is replies, with almost no reposts.
Why it matters
Replies are easy to trade. Reposts mean someone thought it was worth showing their own audience.
What we see
Views that are too uniform. Almost every post lands on nearly the same number.
Why it matters
Real audiences are lumpy. Posts vary. A flat line is unusual.
What we see
A small account with huge views. Under 1K followers, but posts get more than 50 times that in views.
Why it matters
Possible, but rare enough that it shouldn't be priced as reliable reach.
What we see
Near-empty posts, or a brand-new account.
Why it matters
Posts with almost no words, or an account under six months old, give you less to judge by.

One principle runs through all of these: a check is not an accusation. There are ordinary reasons for every pattern above, and none of them tells you who is behind an account. A check lowers the score and shows its reasoning, so you can decide what it's worth to you. When there isn't enough evidence either way, the score stays neutral.

Example findings from a ranked list of made-up accounts: 2 in replier groups, followers aren't reach (the account with the most followers, 212K, ranks 10th of 11 on typical views), a 23x price spread per 1,000 views, 2 overstate followers, and 1 couldn't be measured.
Example list report, made-up accounts. The account with the most followers ranked 10th of 11 on typical views.
Checking a List

Rank the list against itself

If you're choosing between 20 creators, an absolute score for each one doesn't help much. What you need to know is which ones are better than the others on this list, for this budget.

So a list check ranks each creator against the rest on three things: reach (typical views), resonance (engagements per 1,000 views) and value (what each engagement costs at their price). Value carries the most weight, because a great creator at the wrong price is still a bad buy. Any flags from the section above multiply the score down, and creators with only a few posts are pulled towards the middle until there's enough history to judge.

Example ranking table of 11 made-up creators with list score, reach, resonance and value bars, a trust factor, followers, typical views with range, engagements per 1,000 views, reply share and price. The top-ranked creator has 6.1K followers; the account with 212K followers ranks last.
Example list, made-up accounts. The top creator has 6.1K followers. The one with 212K is last.
Splitting a Budget

Don't just buy the biggest names

The default way to spend a creator budget is to start at the top of the follower list and work down until the money runs out. It's easy to defend and usually a poor use of the budget.

The planner does it differently. Give it a budget and a goal (most views or most engagement) and it keeps buying the best remaining post for the money. A few rules stop it from gaming itself:

01
Repeat posts count less

A second post to the same audience counts 0.6×, a third 0.35×. People who saw the first one don't become new reach.

02
A cap per creator

No single creator takes more than a set share of the budget, so one account can't become the whole campaign.

03
One per replier group

If two creators share an audience of repliers, the plan can keep only one of them.

04
Language filter

Posts only reach buyers who read them. The plan can be limited to creators posting in your market's language.

05
Leftover money stays left over

If nothing else on the list is worth it, the plan says so instead of spending the rest on a weak buy.

Every plan is shown next to the "biggest accounts first" approach with the same budget, so you can see what the default would have bought.

Example budget plan for $5,000 on a list of made-up creators: six creators and 14 posts for 118K typical views, next to 56K views for the biggest-accounts-first approach, with each left-out creator and the reason.
Example plan, made-up accounts and prices. Same $5,000: the plan against buying the biggest accounts first. Every creator it left out comes with a reason.
Limits

What a check can't tell you

A check reads public posts. That puts some things out of reach, and it's better to know them before you spend:

It can't tell you
Bought views versus real ones
What to do instead
We use low engagement per view as the proxy. For a large spend, ask the creator for their post analytics.
It can't tell you
Who the audience is (country, role, real or not)
What to do instead
Ask the creator for an audience breakdown before a big deal.
It can't tell you
Whether a post will convert
What to do instead
Views and engagement come before sign-ups. Run one tracked post before you sign a retainer.
Try It

Check your next creator

Creator Check is free for a single creator once you're signed in. A list costs 10 credits per creator. Upload a CSV or paste a Google Sheet link with handles and prices, and any creator we can't measure is refunded.

Checking before you pay is the first half. The second half is measuring after the post goes up: Retro takes any launch post and shows who actually carried it.

The best creator for your product is rarely the biggest one. It's usually someone whose audience still listens, and often someone who already uses what you've built.

Lior Goldenberg
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